Match Info

Date: 30 March 2021, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Julian Lenz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.05	1.72
	1.94	1.71
	1.99	1.76
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.61)	1.73 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
46.3%

Julian Lenz
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Julian Lenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Julian Lenz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julian Lenz than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Julian Lenz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Sels is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lenz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
23.03.21	Jelle Sels - Evgeny Karlovskiy	1:2
22.03.21	Antoine Bellier - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Mirko Martinez - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
08.03.21	Jiri Lehecka - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Andrey Kuznetsov - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW
- Julian Lenz
ATP Challenger
22.03.21	Yuichi Sugita - Julian Lenz	2:0 ✺
09.03.21	Liam Broady - Julian Lenz	2:0 ✺
08.03.21	Julian Lenz - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
07.03.21	Julian Lenz - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Julian Lenz - Vladyslav Manafov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.08.19	Jelle Sels - Julian Lenz	2:1
ITF Tournaments
01.03.19	Jelle Sels - Julian Lenz	0:2

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