Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2 (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Jelle Sels		Kilian Feldbausch

	1	2
	1.83	1.85
	1.85	1.85
	1.86	1.9
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.86	1.86
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	1.85 ↓ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
49.9%

Kilian Feldbausch
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Kilian Feldbausch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kilian Feldbausch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilian Feldbausch than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kilian Feldbausch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Jelle Sels - Kilian Feldbausch Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Feldbausch will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sels: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 297. Feldbausch is ranked ATP: 415.

Sels is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Feldbausch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Feldbausch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Joao Fonseca - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Jelle Sels - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Jelle Sels - Markus Molder	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Raphael Collignon - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
13.10.24	Luca Van Assche - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Kilian Feldbausch
ITF Tournaments
19.10.24	Kilian Feldbausch - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Kilian Feldbausch - Albert Pedrico Kravtsov	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Kilian Feldbausch - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.24	Dennis Novak - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL

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