Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Grasse, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday


	Jelle Sels		Nikolay Vylegzhanin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.22
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.61	2.12	Watch
	1.58	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
58.4%

Nikolay Vylegzhanin
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Nikolay Vylegzhanin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolay Vylegzhanin than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 358. Vylegzhanin is ranked ATP: 532.

In recent matches, Sels has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vylegzhanin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sels will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Jelle Sels - Tristan Lamasine	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Jelle Sels - Pablo Trochu	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Tristan Lamasine - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	Florent Bax - Jelle Sels	Bax F. retired ✺
29.05.25	Pablo Trochu - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWL?W
- Nikolay Vylegzhanin
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Iliyan Radulov - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW

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