Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Montauban, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday


	Tristan Lamasine		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
			Watch
	1.89	1.87
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Lamasine
49.6%

Jelle Sels
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Lamasine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Lamasine than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

Lamasine is ranked ATP: 534. Sels is ranked ATP: 320.

Lamasine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sels is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lamasine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Lamasine - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Lamasine
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Tristan Lamasine - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Tristan Lamasine	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Tristan Lamasine - Thomas Gerbaud	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Jelle Sels - Tristan Lamasine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL
- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Lucas Bouquet - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Benjamin Pietri - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
05.06.25	Jelle Sels - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Jelle Sels - Tristan Lamasine	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Jelle Sels - Pablo Trochu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Jelle Sels - Tristan Lamasine	2:1
31.05.25	Tristan Lamasine - Jelle Sels	2:0
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Tristan Lamasine - Jelle Sels	1:2

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