Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday


	Jelle Sels		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.5	2.45
	1.45	2.45
	1.36	2.98
	1.57	2.25
	1.51	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)	2.5 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
62.9%

Stefano Napolitano
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jelle Sels - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sels: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

Sels is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Napolitano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sels will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
14.09.22	Jelle Sels - Andrea Basso	2:0 ✺
13.09.22	Jelle Sels - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.22	Jelle Sels - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
09.09.22	Jelle Sels - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
08.09.22	Jelle Sels - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLW?
- Stefano Napolitano
ITF Tournaments
14.09.22	Gabriele Piraino - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
31.08.22	Luca Castagnola - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. retired ✺
30.08.22	Pietro Pampanin - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
23.08.22	August Holmgren - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WW?WL

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