Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Javier Barranco Cosano		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.68	2.23
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)	2.12 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Javier Barranco Cosano
56%

Jelle Sels
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Javier Barranco Cosano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Javier Barranco Cosano's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Javier Barranco Cosano than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Javier Barranco Cosano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Javier Barranco Cosano - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barranco Cosano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sels will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sels (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Barranco Cosano (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barranco Cosano (votes: 1 - 50%). Sels (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barranco Cosano is ranked ATP: 315. Sels is ranked ATP: 322.

Barranco Cosano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sels is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barranco Cosano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Javier Barranco Cosano - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.96%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.04%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Javier Barranco Cosano
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Marat Sharipov - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLL?L
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Tyler Zink - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.06.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Tristan Lamasine - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Lucas Bouquet - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Benjamin Pietri - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.07.21	Javier Barranco Cosano - Jelle Sels	2:1
26.06.21	Jelle Sels - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0
18.05.21	Jelle Sels - Javier Barranco Cosano	1:2
ATP Challenger
21.09.18	Jelle Sels - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1

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