Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.3	1.27	Watch
	3.99	1.26
	3.91	1.24	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.54	1.27	Watch
	3.3	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.75)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
25.9%

Zsombor Piros
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zsombor Piros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Jelle Sels - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Piros will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sels: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 335. Piros is ranked ATP: 266.

Two players are playing changeable.

Piros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Piros will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Jelle Sels - Lorenzo Carboni	Sels J. retired ✺
25.02.25	Jelle Sels - Mika Petkovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Jelle Sels - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Jelle Sels - Ali Habib	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
01.02.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?WLWL
- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Michael Geerts - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Zsombor Piros - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
17.01.25	Zsombor Piros - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLLWW

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