Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Jenson Brooksby		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.74	1.97
	1.78	2	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.74	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)	2.02 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
54%

Yosuke Watanuki
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jenson Brooksby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Jenson Brooksby - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brooksby: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brooksby (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 161. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 183.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Brooksby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brooksby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Jenson Brooksby - Jaime Faria	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Radu Albot - Jenson Brooksby	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
04.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

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