Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.3
	1.62	2.34
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	2.29 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
59.4%

Ryan Peniston
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Yosuke Watanuki - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 189. Peniston is ranked ATP: 310.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Watanuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Watanuki could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Yosuke Watanuki - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Li Tu - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Ryan Peniston - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
29.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Ryan Peniston - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ryan Peniston - Zhan Zheng	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.25	Faris Zakaryia - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LWWL

Yosuke Watanuki - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide