Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo, hard - Final

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Jerry Roddick		Keisuke Saitoh

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.43	1.50
	2.45	1.56
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.40	1.54
	2.29	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.15)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerry Roddick
38.7%

Keisuke Saitoh
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerry Roddick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Keisuke Saitoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerry Roddick than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerry Roddick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jerry Roddick - Keisuke Saitoh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roddick is ranked ATP: 1134. Saitoh is ranked ATP: 672.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Saitoh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Saitoh will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerry Roddick
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Jerry Roddick - Chase Ferguson	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Jerry Roddick	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Jerry Roddick - Ryota Tanuma	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Yua Taka - Jerry Roddick	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Jerry Roddick	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWW?
- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Seong Chan Hong	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Kuan-Yi Lee - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Yu Tanaka - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Yanki Erel - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

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