Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Keisuke Saitoh		Seong Chan Hong

	1	2
			Watch
	3.70	1.22
	3.60	1.24
	4.19	1.24
	3.38	1.17	Watch
	4.10	1.22
	3.69	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.76)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
24.4%

Seong Chan Hong
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keisuke Saitoh's form might have worsened.

Seong Chan Hong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seong Chan Hong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seong Chan Hong than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Keisuke Saitoh - Seong Chan Hong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 672. Hong is ranked ATP: 142.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Hong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hong is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saitoh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Kuan-Yi Lee - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Yu Tanaka - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Yanki Erel - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Seong Chan Hong
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Seong Chan Hong - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Kousuke Ogura - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Seong Chan Hong - Sora Fukuda	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Seong Chan Hong - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.10.22	Seong Chan Hong - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0

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