Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama (Bahrain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Jesper De Jong		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)	2.21 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
57.7%

Aslan Karatsev
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aslan Karatsev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aslan Karatsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 109. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 225.

Two players are playing changeable.

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Montpellier
01.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Jesper De Jong - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Jesper De Jong - Quentin Halys	Halys Q. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Jesper De Jong - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWW?L
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Aslan Karatsev - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Aslan Karatsev - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Aslan Karatsev - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
08.01.25	Marat Sharipov - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
07.01.25	Aslan Karatsev - Yan Bai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide