Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Jesper De Jong		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.25	3.75
	1.24	3.65
	1.26	4.26
	1.24	3.88	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.27	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.38)	3.85 ↑ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
75.5%

Liam Draxl
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liam Draxl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Draxl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jesper De Jong - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Draxl will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 109. Draxl is ranked ATP: 164.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, De Jong is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Jong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Hugo Dellien - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Ilia Simakin - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Liam Draxl - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Liam Draxl - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Liam Draxl - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Liam Draxl - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Jesper De Jong - Liam Draxl	0:2

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