Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GRODZISK MAZOWIECKI (POLAND), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Jesper De Jong		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.12
	1.73	2.2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
56.9%

Elias Ymer
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	0%	8.7%

Jesper De Jong - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: Jesper De Jong will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches De Jong is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ymer is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
17.08.23	Jesper De Jong - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Jesper De Jong - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Jesper De Jong - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	Rodriguez Taverna S. retired ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
29.07.23	Guido Andreozzi - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
25.07.23	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WW?LL
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
17.08.23	Elias Ymer - Kacper Zuk	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Elias Ymer - Jules Marie	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Elias Ymer - David Poljak	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
25.07.23	Elias Ymer - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Jozef Kovalik - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Jesper De Jong - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide