Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Jesper De Jong		Filip Misolic

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.95	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.65)	2.79 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
66.7%

Filip Misolic
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.

Filip Misolic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Misolic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Misolic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Jesper De Jong - Filip Misolic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Misolic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Misolic: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 105. Misolic is ranked ATP: 246.

Two players are playing changeable.

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

De Jong will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.51%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Ivan Gakhov - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Harold Mayot - Jesper De Jong	De Jong J. walkover ✺
20.03.25	Valentin Vacherot - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLW?W
- Filip Misolic
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Filip Misolic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Steven Diez - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Zsombor Piros - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Guy Den Ouden - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

Jesper De Jong - Filip Misolic