Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Carlos Taberner		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.88	1.47
	2.95	1.40	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.81	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.27)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
33.3%

Jesper De Jong
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Taberner's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Taberner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Jong (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Taberner (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jesper De Jong will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Taberner (votes: 1 - 33.3%). De Jong (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 111. De Jong is ranked ATP: 83.

In recent matches, Taberner has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Jong is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Taberner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that De Jong will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Taberner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.06%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
20.07.25	Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:1
17.08.21	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:0

Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide