Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Valentin Vacherot		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.19)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
43%

Jesper De Jong
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Valentin Vacherot - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 265. De Jong is ranked ATP: 105.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Vacherot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Jong will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vacherot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Valentin Vacherot - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	Valentin Vacherot - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Valentin Vacherot - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Alex Marti Pujolras	De Jong J. retired ✺
25.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.08.22	Jesper De Jong - Valentin Vacherot	0:2

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