Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3 (Argentina), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Jesper De Jong		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.66	2.31
	1.62	2.32	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
57.6%

Hugo Dellien
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Dellien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Dellien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jesper De Jong - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 118. Dellien is ranked ATP: 108.

De Jong is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dellien is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Jong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Jong will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches De Jong won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Dellien - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Jesper De Jong - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Jesper De Jong - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Jesper De Jong - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Karue Sell - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Hady Habib - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Daniel Vallejo - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Mateus Alves - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.03.22	Hugo Dellien - Jesper De Jong	2:0
03.11.21	Hugo Dellien - Jesper De Jong	0:2

Jesper De Jong - Hugo Dellien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide