Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	DAZN 6


	Jessica Pegula		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.5	2.45
	1.54	2.53	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	2.56 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
63%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Jessica Pegula - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Alexandrova (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Alexandrova (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Alexandrova (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 4. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 26.

Pegula is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alexandrova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alexandrova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pegula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Charleston
04.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Danielle Collins	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Jessica Pegula - Iryna Shymanovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
29.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Jessica Pegula - Alexandra Eala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Charleston
04.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Magda Linette	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
13.02.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	2:1
WTA Miami
27.03.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	2:1
WTA Roma
13.05.21	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula	0:2

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