Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.70	1.47	Watch
	2.79	1.44	Watch
	3.00	1.42
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.80	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.32)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
34.1%

Diana Shnaider
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterina Alexandrova's form might have worsened.

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Shnaider will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 28., and Shnaider is ranked WTA: 14..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Shnaider carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alexandrova has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Beijing
02.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Kimberly Birrell - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	McCartney Kessler - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
26.08.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Clara Tauson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Beijing
01.10.26	Janice Tjen - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.26	Taylor Townsend - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Daria Snigur - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ningbo
18.10.25	Diana Shnaider - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA Monterrey
23.08.25	Diana Shnaider - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1
WTA Charleston
03.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Diana Shnaider	2:0

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