Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Jessica Pegula		Katerina Siniakova

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.50	2.55
	1.53	2.45
	1.63	2.45
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.59	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)	2.44 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
60.9%

Katerina Siniakova
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessica Pegula's form might have worsened.

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katerina Siniakova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katerina Siniakova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jessica Pegula - Katerina Siniakova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Siniakova will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Siniakova (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Siniakova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 4. Siniakova is ranked WTA: 34.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4.

Pegula has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Siniakova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Siniakova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pegula will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Jessica Pegula - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.83%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.26	Kimberly Birrell - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
WTA Roma
13.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW
- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Berlin
16.06.26	Katerina Siniakova - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Katerina Siniakova - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Katerina Siniakova - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Simona Waltert - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wuhan
09.10.25	Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Pegula	1:2
WTA Bad Homburg
24.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Katerina Siniakova	2:0
WTA Berlin
22.06.24	Jessica Pegula - Katerina Siniakova	2:1
WTA Doha
20.02.22	Jessica Pegula - Katerina Siniakova	2:0
WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.21	Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Pegula	2:1
WTA Washington
29.07.19	Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Pegula	0:2

Jessica Pegula - Katerina Siniakova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide