Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Victoria Mboko		Katerina Siniakova

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.29	3.43
	1.36	3.77
	1.3	3.55	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.33	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)	3.57 ↑ (3.14)

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Mboko
73.1%

Katerina Siniakova
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Katerina Siniakova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Victoria Mboko - Katerina Siniakova Predictions

Users Predictions: Victoria Mboko will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mboko is ranked WTA: 9. Siniakova is ranked WTA: 36.

Mboko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Siniakova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Siniakova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mboko is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Mboko
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
23.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Lois Boisson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW
- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.26	Simona Waltert - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
18.05.26	Marie Bouzkova - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.26	Katerina Siniakova - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Katerina Siniakova - Lois Boisson	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Katerina Siniakova - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL

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