Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:40	ESPN
Australia	11:40	Stan Sport
Belgium	01:40	HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:40	HBO Max
Brazil	21:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:40	HBO Max
Canada	19:40	RDS App
Colombia	19:40	ESPN
Croatia	01:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:40	HBO Max
Denmark	01:40	HBO Max
Finland	02:40	HBO Max
France	01:40	HBO Max
Hungary	01:40	HBO Max
Mexico	18:40	ESPN
Moldova	02:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:40	HBO Max
New Zealand	13:40	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	01:40	HBO Max
Norway	01:40	HBO Max
Peru	19:40	ESPN
Poland	01:40	HBO Max
Romania	02:40	HBO Max
Serbia	01:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:40	HBO Max
Spain	01:40	HBO Max
Sweden	01:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:40	Discovery+
Usa	19:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:40	ESPN


	Jessica Pegula		McCartney Kessler

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.23	4.2	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.23	4.34	Watch
	1.23	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	4.18 ↑ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
77.2%

McCartney Kessler
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Pegula's performance.

McCartney Kessler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and McCartney Kessler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Jessica Pegula - McCartney Kessler Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Pegula (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Kessler (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jessica Pegula will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessica Pegula will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 6 - 75%). Kessler (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Kessler is ranked WTA: 37.

Pegula is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pegula is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pegula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
10.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Dayana Yastremska - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW
- McCartney Kessler
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Emiliana Arango - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
12.01.26	Olga Danilovic - McCartney Kessler	2:1 ✺
WTA Brisbane
05.01.26	McCartney Kessler - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Emiliana Arango - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
WTA Tokyo
21.10.25	McCartney Kessler - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Austin
02.03.25	Jessica Pegula - McCartney Kessler	2:0

Jessica Pegula - McCartney Kessler