Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUCKLAND (NEW ZEALAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday


	Jessika Ponchet		McCartney Kessler

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.49	1.55
	2.49	1.56
	2.25	1.57
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.76)	1.57 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
40.2%

McCartney Kessler
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.

McCartney Kessler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting McCartney Kessler's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for McCartney Kessler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Jessika Ponchet - McCartney Kessler Predictions

Users Predictions: McCartney Kessler will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

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Preview

Ponchet is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kessler is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ATP Challenger
08.12.23	Jessika Ponchet - Audrey Albie	Albie A. walkover ✺
05.12.23	Jessika Ponchet - Amandine Hesse	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Heather Watson - Jessika Ponchet	Watson H. walkover ✺
30.11.23	Jessika Ponchet - Elsa Jacquemot	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Tereza Martincova - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 ?W?WW
- McCartney Kessler
ATP Challenger
14.12.23	McCartney Kessler - Erika Andreeva	1:2 ✺
11.12.23	McCartney Kessler - Margaux Rouvroy	2:1 ✺
08.12.23	Dayana Yastremska - McCartney Kessler	2:1 ✺
06.12.23	Francesca Curmi - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
04.12.23	McCartney Kessler - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWW

Jessika Ponchet - McCartney Kessler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide