Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Angers, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Jessika Ponchet		Mona Barthel

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.82	1.89	Watch
	1.82	1.89
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.81	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
50.7%

Mona Barthel
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jessika Ponchet - Mona Barthel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ponchet will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Barthel will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponchet: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessika Ponchet will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 169. Barthel is ranked WTA: 223.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barthel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponchet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Lucie Havlickova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Kira Pavlova	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Julie Pastikova	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWW
- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Mona Barthel - Weronika Ewald	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Mona Barthel - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Mona Barthel - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Mona Barthel - Daria Snigur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.02.22	Mona Barthel - Jessika Ponchet	2:1

Jessika Ponchet - Mona Barthel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide