Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Jessika Ponchet		Rebecca Marino

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.88	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)	1.84 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
49.4%

Rebecca Marino
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.

Rebecca Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebecca Marino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebecca Marino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jessika Ponchet - Rebecca Marino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rebecca Marino will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 140. Marino is ranked WTA: 106.

Recent performances by Ponchet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marino is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponchet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.28%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Jessika Ponchet - Linda Fruhvirtova	1:2 ✺
06.06.25	Mingge Xu - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Jessika Ponchet - Heather Watson	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Jessika Ponchet - Vitalia Diatchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Lola Radivojevic - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- Rebecca Marino
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Rebecca Marino - Tereza Martincova	1:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.25	Rebecca Marino - Kathinka Von Deichmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Wushuang Zheng - Rebecca Marino	Marino R. retired ✺
24.04.25	Talia Gibson - Rebecca Marino	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Haruka Kaji - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.06.24	Rebecca Marino - Jessika Ponchet	2:1
WTA Australian Open
10.01.24	Rebecca Marino - Jessika Ponchet	2:1

Jessika Ponchet - Rebecca Marino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide