Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Jie Cui		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.14	1.37
	3.46	1.28	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jie Cui
29.3%

Arthur Gea
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jie Cui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jie Cui than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jie Cui - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cui will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Gea will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cui: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cui (votes: 3 - 60%). Gea (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cui is ranked ATP: 287. Gea is ranked ATP: 257.

Cui has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gea is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gea is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jie Cui
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Jie Cui - Maximus Jones	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Jie Cui - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Alexandr Binda - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Jie Cui - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	Robin Bertrand - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Arthur Gea - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Arthur Gea - Rawat Sidharth	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Arthur Gea - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Arthur Gea - Kabir Hans	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Arthur Gea - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

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