Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Jie Cui		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.85	1.35	Watch
	3.06	1.39
	3.01	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.75)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jie Cui
31.8%

Alejandro Moro Canas
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jie Cui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jie Cui than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Jie Cui - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Moro Canas (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cui is ranked ATP: 281. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 263.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moro Canas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cui won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jie Cui
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Robin Bertrand - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Jie Cui - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.06.25	Jie Cui - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Jie Cui - Shunsuke Mitsui	Mitsui S. retired ✺
19.06.25	Jie Cui - Shintaro Imai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLL?W
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Dan Added - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
29.12.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jie Cui	2:0

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