Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Jiri Lehecka		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.87	1.9	Watch
	1.8	2.1
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.87	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)	2.03 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
53.3%

Grigor Dimitrov
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiri Lehecka's form might have worsened.

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grigor Dimitrov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	0%	32.4%

Jiri Lehecka - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 24 - 66.7%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 12 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 51.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 25. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 13.

Lehecka is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dimitrov is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dimitrov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Hubert Hurkacz	Lehecka J. retired ✺
04.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Soon Woo Kwon	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Jiri Lehecka - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?W?WL
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
13.01.25	Fabio Fognini - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.25	Jiri Lehecka - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
03.01.25	Jordan Thompson - Grigor Dimitrov	Thompson J. retired ✺
31.12.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 ????W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
04.01.25	Jiri Lehecka - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Jiri Lehecka	0:2
ATP Stockholm
18.10.22	Jiri Lehecka - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1
ATP Australian Open
17.01.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Jiri Lehecka	3:1

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