Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Jiri Lehecka		Thanasi Kokkinakis

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.67	2.18
	1.63	2.09
	1.65	2.3
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.67	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)	2.17 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
56.9%

Thanasi Kokkinakis
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiri Lehecka's form might have worsened.

Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thanasi Kokkinakis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thanasi Kokkinakis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jiri Lehecka - Thanasi Kokkinakis Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Kokkinakis will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Lehecka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Andrey Rublev - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.23	Alexander Zverev - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
24.02.23	Jiri Lehecka - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
23.02.23	Andrey Rublev - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLW
- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Yuichi Sugita	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

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