Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 La Nucia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday


	Joao Domingues		John Sperle

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	2	1.74
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73
	2	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.59)	1.73 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Domingues
46.4%

John Sperle
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Domingues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Domingues's form might have worsened.

John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting John Sperle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Domingues than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Domingues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for John Sperle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Domingues is ranked ATP: 547. Sperle is ranked ATP: 714.

Domingues is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sperle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sperle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Domingues
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Steven Diez - Joao Domingues	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Eero Vasa - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Leandro Riedi - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L?LLW
- John Sperle
ITF Tournaments
23.05.25	John Sperle - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	John Sperle - Lucas Bouquet	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Svyatoslav Gulin - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	John Sperle - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Arthur Reymond - John Sperle	Reymond A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWL?

Joao Domingues - John Sperle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide