Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mataro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Steven Diez		Joao Domingues

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.38)	1.83 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steven Diez
49.9%

Joao Domingues
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Steven Diez's performance.

Joao Domingues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Domingues might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Steven Diez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Domingues than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Domingues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Diez is ranked ATP: 575. Domingues is ranked ATP: 551.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Domingues may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steven Diez
ITF Tournaments
16.05.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Steven Diez	Diez S. retired ✺
15.05.25	Steven Diez - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Steven Diez - Michiel De Krom	De Krom M. retired ✺
30.04.25	Sekou Bangoura - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Steven Diez - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?W?LL
- Joao Domingues
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Eero Vasa - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Leandro Riedi - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.25	Joao Domingues - Sergio Callejon Hernando	Domingues J. retired ✺
24.04.25	Joao Domingues - Dmitry Kopilevich	Kopilevich D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Steven Diez - Joao Domingues	2:0

Steven Diez - Joao Domingues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide