Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Joao Domingues		Vadym Ursu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.23)	1.83 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Domingues
49%

Vadym Ursu
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Domingues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Domingues's performance.

Vadym Ursu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vadym Ursu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Joao Domingues - Vadym Ursu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Domingues is ranked ATP: 598., and Ursu is ranked ATP: 403..

Performances by Ursu have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Domingues may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ursu holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Domingues - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Domingues
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Robin Bertrand - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Joao Domingues - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Julien Penzlin - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
18.07.26	Joao Domingues - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Goncalo Marques - Joao Domingues	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLL?
- Vadym Ursu
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Vadym Ursu - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Hugo Grenier - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Vadym Ursu	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Vadym Ursu - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	August Holmgren - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLW

Joao Domingues - Vadym Ursu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide