Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Joao Fonseca		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.69
	1.51	2.69
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.48	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.72)	2.57 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
63.3%

Dmitry Popko
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dmitry Popko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dmitry Popko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Joao Fonseca - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Popko will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Fonseca is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Popko is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Popko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fonseca will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
12.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Joao Fonseca - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
08.01.24	Felix Gill - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
23.11.23	Joao Fonseca - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
12.01.24	Tristan Boyer - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Dmitry Popko - Timo Stodder	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Dmitry Popko - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
08.01.24	Leonardo Aboian - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
08.01.24	Alexis Gurmendi - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Joao Fonseca - Dmitry Popko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide