Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Poncho A. (Esp)


	Joao Fonseca		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.74	2.13
	1.75	2.13
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.14	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.98)	2.06 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
54.6%

Harold Mayot
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harold Mayot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harold Mayot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Joao Fonseca - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Mayot will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mayot: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Fonseca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mayot is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mayot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Guido Andreozzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Jan Choinski - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Joao Fonseca - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Orlando Luz - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Joris De Loore - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Harold Mayot - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Harold Mayot - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Harold Mayot - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Harold Mayot - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

Joao Fonseca - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide