Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ASUNCION (PARAGUAY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Orlando Luz		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.42	1.6
	2.42	1.61
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.39	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 (2.3)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Luz
40.9%

Joao Fonseca
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Orlando Luz - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Luz will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fonseca will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Luz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fonseca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fonseca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
20.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Orlando Luz - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Orlando Luz - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Orlando Luz - Renzo Olivo	Luz O. awarded ✺
11.03.24	Orlando Luz - Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWL?W
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
20.03.24	Joao Fonseca - Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Joao Fonseca - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.24	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.04.23	Orlando Luz - Joao Fonseca	2:0

Orlando Luz - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide