Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle (Germany), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday


	Joao Fonseca		James Duckworth

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	2.69	1.52
	2.69	1.52
	2.38	1.57
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.73)	1.51 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
36.9%

James Duckworth
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	0%	82.8%

Joao Fonseca - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fonseca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duckworth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fonseca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Duckworth will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Duckworth to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
14.06.24	Joao Fonseca - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
12.06.24	Damir Dzumhur - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
06.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
05.06.24	Joao Fonseca - Kyle Edmund	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Cameron Norrie - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- James Duckworth
ATP Halle
16.06.24	Corentin Moutet - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	James Duckworth - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
14.06.24	Matteo Berrettini - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	James Duckworth - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
11.06.24	James Duckworth - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWW

Joao Fonseca - James Duckworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide