Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Surbiton (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Williams J. (Gbr)


	Joao Fonseca		Kyle Edmund

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.33	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.59
	2.45	1.6
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.24)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
39.7%

Kyle Edmund
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Kyle Edmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyle Edmund than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Joao Fonseca - Kyle Edmund Predictions

Users Predictions: Kyle Edmund will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Fonseca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Edmund will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Cameron Norrie - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- Kyle Edmund
ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Kyle Edmund - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Li Tu - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
19.05.24	Luca Giacomini - Kyle Edmund	Canceled ✺
13.05.24	Alexander Weis - Kyle Edmund	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Kyle Edmund - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WW?LW

Joao Fonseca - Kyle Edmund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide