The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Joao Menezes 34.2%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio 65.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
56.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joao Menezes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Menezes's form might have worsened.
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Menezes than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Menezes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
0%
54.5%
Joao Menezes - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Menezes will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Varillas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Varillas: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Varillas Patino-Samudio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Menezes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Menezes will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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