Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Joao Sousa		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.25	1.61	Watch
	2.26	1.57
	2.35	1.61
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
40.6%

Brandon Nakashima
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Joao Sousa - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sousa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.21	Joao Sousa - Thomas Fabbiano	0:2 ✺
10.04.21	Thiago Monteiro - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
ATP Cagliari
06.04.21	Joao Sousa - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.21	Ugo Humbert - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
25.03.21	Christopher OConnell - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
15.04.21	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Brandon Nakashima - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
13.04.21	Brandon Nakashima - Elliot Benchetrit	2:1 ✺
ATP Cagliari
04.04.21	Matteo Viola - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.21	Brandon Nakashima - Ernesto Escobedo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

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