Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Liam Broady		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.9	1.38
	2.99	1.4
	2.99	1.41
	2.62	1.44
	3.35	1.29	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.76)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
32.5%

Brandon Nakashima
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Broady won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Liam Broady - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Liam Broady - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Liam Broady - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.23	Liam Broady - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
04.11.23	Jack Draper - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Brandon Nakashima - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
15.04.21	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	2:1
03.03.20	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

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