Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Joao Sousa		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.47	2.75
	1.47	2.75
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.66	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	2.68 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
65.1%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Joao Sousa - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Sousa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vincent Ruggeri is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sousa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Paul Jubb - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
28.11.23	Joao Sousa - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
08.01.24	Dan Added - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Karl Friberg - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
01.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Federico Iannaccone	2:1 ✺
31.12.23	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Rodrigo Fernandes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa	0:2

Joao Sousa - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide