Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Maks Kasnikowski		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.68
	2.2	1.72
	2.2	1.72
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
43.5%

Joao Sousa
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	0%	92%

Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Sousa will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
03.01.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Adrian Andreev - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
13.11.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
09.11.23	Enzo Wallart - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
04.01.24	Paul Jubb - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
28.11.23	Joao Sousa - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
17.11.23	Li Tu - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide