Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Bakersfield, CA, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin		Daniil Kakhniuk

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.5
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.71)	1.54 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
39.7%

Daniil Kakhniuk
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin's form might have worsened.

Daniil Kakhniuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Kakhniuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Kakhniuk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniil Kakhniuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Daniil Kakhniuk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Goncalves Ceolin is ranked ATP: 1137. Kakhniuk is ranked ATP: 1327.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kakhniuk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Anuj Watane	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Michael Antonius	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Dakotah Bobo - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW
- Daniil Kakhniuk
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Daniil Kakhniuk - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Daniil Kakhniuk - Kacper Szymkowiak	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Taha Baadi - Daniil Kakhniuk	Baadi T. retired ✺
07.03.26	Daniil Kakhniuk - Daniel De Jonge	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Oliver Okonkwo - Daniil Kakhniuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WL?LW

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Daniil Kakhniuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide