Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sunrise, FL, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin		Ignacio Monzon

	1	2
	1.93	1.88
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.85	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.58)	1.89 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
50.7%

Ignacio Monzon
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Monzon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Monzon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Monzon than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Monzon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Ignacio Monzon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monzon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Preview

Goncalves Ceolin is ranked ATP: 1201. Monzon is ranked ATP: 737.

Goncalves Ceolin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monzon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Goncalves Ceolin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Goncalves Ceolin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Goncalves Ceolin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Dakotah Bobo - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Ryan Colby	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Andrew Fenty - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Lachlan McFadzean - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Thiago Cigarran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWW
- Ignacio Monzon
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Christopher Li - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Ignacio Monzon - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Ignacio Monzon - Andrew Johnson	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Ignacio Monzon - Donald Nikolas Stoot	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Ignacio Monzon - Matthew Segura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.02.25	Ignacio Monzon - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:0

Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Ignacio Monzon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide