Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Criciuma, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Criciuma 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago		Rafael Tosetto

	1	2
	4.3	1.19
	6.49	1.07	Watch
	4.38	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.13)	1.15 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
18.5%

Rafael Tosetto
81.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago's form might have worsened.

Rafael Tosetto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Tosetto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Tosetto than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Tosetto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago - Rafael Tosetto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Scramin do Lago is ranked ATP: 1595. Tosetto is ranked ATP: 1311.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Scramin do Lago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tosetto is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Salvador Price - Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Ryan Augusto Dos Santos - Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Taha Baadi - Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago - Juan Estevez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Rafael Tosetto
ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Rafael Tosetto	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Rafael Tosetto - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Rafael Tosetto	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Rafael Tosetto - Natan Rodrigues	N/A ✺
01.10.25	Rafael Tosetto - Natan Rodrigues	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLL?L

Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago - Rafael Tosetto

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago - Rafael Tosetto Predictions

Preview

Form

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