Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Santiago 6, clay - Final

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santiago 6 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.47)	1.99 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
53.8%

Juan Manuel La Serna
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's performance.

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel La Serna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel La Serna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aguilar Cardozo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 775. La Serna is ranked ATP: 514.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

La Serna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

La Serna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that La Serna will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aguilar Cardozo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Matteo Covato - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Marvin Bernardo Becker Spiering - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWL
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Ignacio Monzon - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Thiago Cigarran - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Fermin Tenti - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2
ITF Tournaments
04.04.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2
17.03.24	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	✺

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna