Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Santiago 5, clay - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Hernan Casanova		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
	1.21	4.21
			Watch
	1.2	4.13	Watch
	1.38	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.38)	3.67 ↑ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
74.4%

Juan Manuel La Serna
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hernan Casanova's performance.

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel La Serna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hernan Casanova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel La Serna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hernan Casanova - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Casanova is ranked ATP: 404. La Serna is ranked ATP: 511.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Casanova is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Ryan Dickerson	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Alex Santino Nunez Vera	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Hernan Casanova - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Julian Cundom - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Thomas Menzel - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW

Hernan Casanova - Juan Manuel La Serna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide