Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2


	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo		Alex Barrena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.56	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
63.8%

Alex Barrena
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Alex Barrena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aguilar Cardozo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Barrena will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aguilar Cardozo (votes: 1 - 50%). Barrena (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Aguilar Cardozo (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aguilar Cardozo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Barrena (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 384., and Barrena is ranked ATP: 240..

Aguilar Cardozo has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Barrena shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Barrena could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aguilar Cardozo holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Aguilar Cardozo in today's match, at odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Aguilar Cardozo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Francisco Comesana - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Mateo Del Pino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Valentin Garay - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Alex Barrena - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.11.24	Alex Barrena - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide