Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santiago 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo		Matias Soto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.86
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
49.8%

Matias Soto
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matias Soto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Matias Soto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 591. Soto is ranked ATP: 389.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Matias Soto - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Bastian Malla	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
12.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Christopher Li	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Matias Soto
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Julian Valenzuela - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ezequiel Monferrer - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Facundo Mena - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sean Cuenin - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide